expert picks: david aragona's belmont stakes predictions for 2023

The Belmont Stakes, the third and final jewel in the Triple Crown of Thoroughbred Racing, is one of the most anticipated events in the horse racing calendar. As we approach the 2023 edition, all eyes are on the expert picks and predictions. Among the most respected analysts in the field is David Aragona, a seasoned handicapper with a keen eye for horse racing talent. Here are David Aragona’s top predictions for the 2023 Belmont Stakes. Key Factors to Consider Before diving into the specific picks, it’s essential to understand the factors that Aragona considers when making his predictions: Recent Performance: How have the horses performed in their last few races?

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expert picks: david aragona's belmont stakes predictions for 2023

Key Factors to Consider

Before diving into the specific picks, it’s essential to understand the factors that Aragona considers when making his predictions:

Recent Performance: How have the horses performed in their last few races?
Track Conditions: The Belmont Park track can vary significantly, affecting horse performance.
Pedigree: The lineage of the horses can provide insights into their potential.
Jockey and Trainer: The experience and strategy of the jockey and trainer play crucial roles.
Post Position: The starting position can influence the race strategy and outcome.

Top Contenders for the 2023 Belmont Stakes

Based on these factors, Aragona has identified several horses as top contenders for the 2023 Belmont Stakes.

1. Forte

Recent Performance: Forte has been in stellar form, winning several key races leading up to the Belmont Stakes.
Track Conditions: Forte has shown adaptability to various track conditions, making him a versatile contender.
Pedigree: His lineage includes several successful racehorses, indicating a strong genetic foundation.
Jockey and Trainer: Both the jockey and trainer have a proven track record in major races.
Post Position: A favorable post position could give Forte a strategic advantage.

2. Tapit Trice

Recent Performance: Tapit Trice has been consistent, with notable finishes in high-stakes races.
Track Conditions: He has performed well on both wet and dry tracks, showcasing his versatility.
Pedigree: Tapit Trice comes from a line of successful racehorses, suggesting a strong genetic background.
Jockey and Trainer: The team has a history of success in the Belmont Stakes.
Post Position: A central post position could allow for a balanced race strategy.

3. Kingsbarns

Recent Performance: Kingsbarns has shown steady improvement, with a recent win boosting his confidence.
Track Conditions: He has performed well on Belmont Park’s unique track conditions in previous races.
Pedigree: Kingsbarns’ lineage includes several Belmont Stakes winners, indicating a strong pedigree.
Jockey and Trainer: Both have significant experience in the Belmont Stakes, providing a strategic edge.
Post Position: A good post position could help Kingsbarns maintain a strong pace throughout the race.

Dark Horses to Watch

While the above contenders are favorites, Aragona also highlights a few dark horses who could surprise the field:

Derma Sotogake: Known for his explosive speed, Derma Sotogake could be a threat if he can maintain his pace.
Disarm: With a strong finish in his last race, Disarm could capitalize on a favorable post position.
Hit Show: A consistent performer, Hit Show could benefit from a balanced race strategy.

David Aragona’s predictions for the 2023 Belmont Stakes highlight a competitive field with several strong contenders. Forte, Tapit Trice, and Kingsbarns stand out as favorites, but the race could see surprises from dark horses like Derma Sotogake, Disarm, and Hit Show. As always, the Belmont Stakes promises to be an exciting and unpredictable event, making it a must-watch for horse racing enthusiasts.

expert picks: david aragona's belmont stakes predictions for 2023

David Aragona’s Top Picks

1. Mo Donegal

Jockey: Irad Ortiz Jr.
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Strengths: Consistent performer, strong finishing kick
Analysis: Mo Donegal has shown remarkable consistency throughout his career, and his strong finishing kick could be a game-changer in the Belmont’s longer distance. Aragona believes that Mo Donegal’s experience and tactical racing style make him a top contender.

2. We the People

Jockey: Flavien Prat
Trainer: Rodolphe Brisset
Strengths: Early speed, impressive gate-to-wire potential
Analysis: We the People has demonstrated an impressive ability to set the pace and maintain it, which could be crucial in a race like the Belmont. Aragona notes that if We the People can control the pace, he could be tough to catch in the final stretch.

3. Skippylongstocking

Jockey: Junior Alvarado
Trainer: Saffie Joseph Jr.
Strengths: Versatile runner, strong closing speed
Analysis: Skippylongstocking’s versatility allows him to adapt to different race conditions. Aragona highlights his strong closing speed as a key factor that could propel him to victory if he can navigate the field effectively.

Dark Horses to Watch

1. Barber Road

Jockey: Reylu Gutierrez
Trainer: John Ortiz
Strengths: Steady improvement, consistent performances
Analysis: Barber Road has been steadily improving with each race, and Aragona believes he could be a surprise contender if he continues his upward trajectory.

2. Golden Glider

Jockey: Joel Rosario
Trainer: Mark Casse
Strengths: European pedigree, strong stamina
Analysis: Golden Glider’s European background gives him an edge in stamina, which is crucial for the Belmont’s demanding distance. Aragona suggests that his international experience could make him a dark horse in the race.

Key Factors to Consider

Distance: The Belmont Stakes is run at a distance of 1.5 miles, making stamina a critical factor. Horses with proven endurance are likely to fare better.
Pacing: Controlling the pace can be a significant advantage. Horses that can set a manageable pace and maintain it are often in a strong position to win.
Weather Conditions: The weather can play a crucial role in the outcome of the race. A wet track could favor certain horses with proven mudders’ ability.

David Aragona’s predictions for the 2023 Belmont Stakes highlight a mix of seasoned contenders and promising dark horses. As always, the Belmont Stakes promises to be a thrilling race, and with Aragona’s insights, fans and bettors alike can make more informed decisions. Stay tuned for the final outcome as these talented horses vie for the prestigious title.

top belmont stakes 2023 best bets: expert picks & predictions

The Belmont Stakes, the third and final jewel in the Triple Crown of Thoroughbred Racing, is one of the most anticipated events in the horse racing calendar. As we approach the 2023 edition, excitement is building, and bettors are eager to place their wagers on the potential winners. Here, we provide expert picks and predictions for the top Belmont Stakes 2023 best bets.

Key Contenders

1. Forte

Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Jockey: Irad Ortiz Jr.
Strengths: Consistent performances, strong finishing kick
Weaknesses: Lack of experience in longer distances
Prediction: A top contender with a strong chance of winning, especially if the distance suits his style.

2. Derma Sotogake

Trainer: Yoshito Yahagi
Jockey: Christophe Lemaire
Strengths: International experience, versatile racing style
Weaknesses: Unknown factor in American racing
Prediction: Could be a dark horse, especially if he adapts well to the Belmont track.

3. Tapit Trice

Trainer: Brad Cox
Jockey: Florent Geroux
Strengths: Excellent speed, proven track record
Weaknesses: Consistency issues in recent races
Prediction: A strong contender with a high ceiling, but consistency will be key.

4. Kingsbarns

Trainer: Aidan O’Brien
Jockey: Ryan Moore
Strengths: European champion, strong stamina
Weaknesses: First time racing in the U.S.
Prediction: A potential winner if he acclimates quickly to the Belmont track.

Expert Picks

1. Win Bet: Forte

Reasoning: Forte has shown consistent performance and a strong finishing kick, which could be crucial in the Belmont Stakes. His experience in the Triple Crown series gives him an edge over some of the international contenders.

2. Place Bet: Derma Sotogake

Reasoning: Derma Sotogake’s international experience and versatile racing style make him a strong candidate for a top finish. If he adapts well to the Belmont track, he could surprise many.

3. Show Bet: Tapit Trice

Reasoning: Tapit Trice’s excellent speed and proven track record make him a solid choice for a show bet. His consistency will be key, but if he performs up to his potential, he could secure a top-three finish.

4. Exotic Bet: Kingsbarns to Win, Forte to Place

Reasoning: This exotic bet combines the potential of Kingsbarns as a winner with the consistency of Forte to place. It offers a balanced risk-reward profile.

Betting Strategies

1. Value Bets

Look for underdogs: Horses like Derma Sotogake and Kingsbarns, who have strong international credentials but are less favored in the U.S., could offer good value.
Monitor odds: Keep an eye on the odds leading up to the race. Sometimes, underdogs see their odds improve as the race approaches.

2. Diversification

Spread your bets: Don’t put all your money on one horse. Diversify your bets across win, place, and show options to increase your chances of winning.
Consider exotics: Trifectas and superfectas can offer high payouts if you correctly predict the top finishers.

3. Track Conditions

Weather impact: Monitor the weather forecast. Rain can affect the track conditions, potentially favoring certain horses.
Track history: Look at how horses have performed on similar tracks in the past. Some horses excel on dirt, while others prefer turf.

The 2023 Belmont Stakes promises to be an exciting event with several strong contenders. By considering the expert picks and predictions, along with smart betting strategies, you can increase your chances of making informed and profitable bets. Good luck!

expert belmont stakes picks: winning tips for the 2023 race

The Belmont Stakes, the third and final jewel in the Triple Crown of horse racing, is one of the most anticipated events in the racing calendar. For bettors and enthusiasts, making informed picks can significantly enhance the excitement and potential rewards of the race. Here are some expert tips to help you make winning Belmont Stakes picks for the 2023 race.

1. Understand the Belmont Stakes

Distance and Track

Distance: The Belmont Stakes is run over a distance of 1.5 miles (12 furlongs), making it the longest of the Triple Crown races.
Track: The race is held at Belmont Park in Elmont, New York, on a large, sweeping track known for its long stretch.

Historical Trends

Recent Winners: Review the past winners to identify patterns and trends. For example, horses that performed well in the Kentucky Derby or Preakness Stakes often have a competitive edge.
Trainers and Jockeys: Pay attention to the track records of trainers and jockeys. Consistency and experience can be crucial factors.

2. Analyze the Field

Horse Performance

Triple Crown Races: Look at the performances of horses in the Kentucky Derby and Preakness Stakes. Horses that finished strongly in these races may have the stamina for the Belmont.
Recent Form: Consider the horse’s recent form, including workouts and any significant wins or losses leading up to the Belmont.

Pedigree and Stamina

Pedigree: Horses with strong distance pedigrees are often favored in the Belmont Stakes. Look for horses with ancestors known for their stamina.
Stamina Indicators: Pay attention to the horse’s ability to handle long distances. Horses that have shown endurance in previous races are likely contenders.

3. Betting Strategies

Types of Bets

Win: Bet on the horse you believe will win the race.
Place: Bet on a horse to finish first or second.
Show: Bet on a horse to finish in the top three.
Exacta: Pick the first and second place finishers in the correct order.
Trifecta: Pick the first three finishers in the correct order.
Superfecta: Pick the first four finishers in the correct order.

Value Bets

Long Shots: While favorites often win, long shots can offer significant payouts. Look for horses with favorable odds and strong potential.
Exotic Bets: Consider placing exotic bets like Exactas and Trifectas. These can yield higher returns if you correctly predict the top finishers.

4. Expert Insights

Consult Experts

Racing Analysts: Follow the predictions and insights of racing analysts and experts. Their in-depth knowledge can provide valuable perspectives.
Betting Forums: Engage with online betting forums and communities to gather diverse opinions and strategies.

Statistical Analysis

Data-Driven Picks: Utilize statistical models and data analysis tools to identify potential winners. Factors like speed figures, pace, and track conditions can be crucial.

5. Stay Informed

News and Updates

Latest News: Keep up with the latest news and updates about the horses, trainers, and jockeys. Injuries, changes in training, and other developments can impact performance.
Weather Conditions: Monitor weather forecasts for race day. Adverse weather conditions can affect the track and horse performance.

Live Betting

In-Play Betting: Consider live betting options if available. Watching the race unfold can provide insights that may influence your betting decisions.

By combining thorough research, expert insights, and strategic betting, you can enhance your chances of making winning Belmont Stakes picks for the 2023 race. Good luck!

Frequently Questions

What are Expert David Aragona's Belmont Picks for Winning Bets?

Expert handicapper David Aragona's Belmont Stakes picks for winning bets typically focus on thoroughbreds with strong recent performances and favorable odds. Aragona often selects horses with a combination of speed, stamina, and strategic positioning in the race. For the 2023 Belmont Stakes, his top picks might include horses like Nest, who has shown consistent form, and Mo Donegal, known for his powerful closing kick. Aragona's selections are based on detailed analysis of past races, jockey and trainer records, and current form, making his picks a valuable resource for bettors looking to maximize their chances of success.

How should I bet on the 2023 Belmont Stakes based on expert predictions and odds?

To bet on the 2023 Belmont Stakes, start by analyzing expert predictions and current odds. Look for consistent picks from reputable horse racing analysts and consider factors like past performance, jockey experience, and track conditions. Focus on horses with strong recent form and favorable odds. Place your bets strategically, considering both win and exotic bets like exacta or trifecta for higher payouts. Stay updated on any last-minute changes and trust your research. Remember, betting should be fun and informed, so manage your bankroll wisely and enjoy the race.

What are the most reliable expert predictions for the 2023 Belmont Stakes?

Expert predictions for the 2023 Belmont Stakes suggest a competitive field with several top contenders. Favorites include Forte, the 2023 Kentucky Derby winner, and Mage, the Preakness Stakes victor. Experts also highlight Creative Minister and Derma Sotogake as strong challengers. Bettors should consider the horses' recent performances, jockey pairings, and track conditions. The Belmont Stakes, known for its grueling 1.5-mile distance, often rewards stamina and endurance. Stay updated with the latest odds and insights from racing analysts to make informed betting decisions.

How can I use expert odds and predictions to enhance my betting experience for Belmont Stakes 2023?

To enhance your betting experience for Belmont Stakes 2023, leverage expert odds and predictions by first identifying reputable sources such as horse racing analysts, betting websites, and sportsbooks. These experts provide insights based on thoroughbred performance, track conditions, and historical data. Use their odds to inform your betting strategy, focusing on horses with strong predicted performances and favorable odds. Additionally, consider subscribing to expert analysis services for in-depth reports. By integrating these predictions with your own research, you can make more informed bets, potentially increasing your chances of success at Belmont Stakes 2023.

What are David Aragona's Belmont Stakes predictions for 2023?

David Aragona, a renowned horse racing analyst, predicts that for the 2023 Belmont Stakes, the top contenders will include horses with strong performances in previous races. He anticipates a competitive field, with particular attention on horses that have shown consistent speed and endurance. Aragona suggests that past performances, jockey skills, and track conditions will be critical factors. His predictions often highlight horses with a balanced mix of speed and stamina, making them ideal for the Belmont's long distance. As the race approaches, Aragona's detailed analysis will provide valuable insights for bettors and racing enthusiasts alike.